Jul 052013
 

popoffWestern society seems far too lenient on those who harm others due to gross negligence. Far too often people are given a free pass because they “believe” something “deeply”. I was recently gladdened to see that parents who killed their child by resorting to “prayer” rather than going to a doctor were convicted of homicide.

In fairness, this is only a small first step. The true culprit, the man who should be in jail, is the clergyman or woo-peddler who convinced these parents that prayer was the correct course of action. That person (if s/he exists) is morally no better than the man who sold novelty golf-ball finders as bomb-detectors  to governments. Yet somehow he isn’t even prosecuted, whereas golf-ball-man is going to jail.

Usually the priests, homeopaths, anti-vaxxers, and other woo-peddlers avoid any prosecution because they are seen to “believe deeply” in the bullshit they are spouting. This is a terrible excuse. It’s my contention that even if a priest honestly believed that drinking poison gives you super X-Men powers, as someone in a position of authority giving that sort of advice he has a moral responsibility to know at least as much about how poison affects the typical human as a high-school graduate. I don’t give the smallest shit as to what he sincerely believed. Only what he can be reasonably expected to know before advising others.

This is not a claim that anyone who disagrees with the current scientific consensus needs to be jailed. Only that persons who put themselves in positions to advise others have the basic moral decency to ensure that the advice they are giving isn’t going to get people killed. I’m very disappointed in humanity, as most people seem to not care, and that leads to untold numbers of preventable deaths.

This also incentivizes people to know as little as possible about the real world and what effects real things have on real people, because as long as sincere ignorance is a valid defense they can get away with murder by simply not bothering to know anything. This is the most perverse of perverse incentives.

Jul 032013
 

wargames

I said yesterday that the Republicans made a massive mistake – they acknowledged the primacy of the game, and attempted to cheat, at the same time.

The problem with games is that they are weak artificial constructs, and both sides must agree to play them without cheating. If the Republicans simply wanted to get their bill passed they would have done best to say “Three minutes doesn’t matter. It is a technicality. The bill is passed.” and ignored the complaints. Instead they altered the time-stamp on the vote to make it look like it had passed before the deadline. This was an acknowledgement that the Game rules supreme – It is important and its rules are to be acknowledged and followed. At the time it was also a brazen attempt to break those very rules.

(As an aside – altering the public record is illegal. What happened to the concern for our society? What happened to transparency? No one is being prosecuted for this, there isn’t even any sort of investigation. This is all being quietly swept under the rug, because we aren’t allowed to look back into the government. In a radically transparent society this would be investigated immediately and prosecuted. A lot of people know the name of the person who did this, and the names of those who authorized it, and we all know nothing.)

This is a serious breech once we’ve gotten to the point where playing the Game is the only thing that keeps us from descending into an Iraqi-style civil war. If one side has stopped playing by the rules, there’s no reason for the other side to still be bound by them.

The sad thing was it wasn’t even necessary. If the Republicans simply could have accepted “losing”  for a weekend they wouldn’t have endangered anything. Already another emergency session of the Texas congress has begun (queue the “Texan legislatures can have an abortion emergency but Texan women can’t” jokes) and the bill will likely be passed soon. If that doesn’t work it’ll just be passed piecemeal in small parts, quietly over several months.

It seems both sides recognize how dangerous that move was, because no one is talking about it. There was a brief kerfuffle, the record was restored to its pre-tampered time, and now everyone is very diligently looking the other way and pretending it never happened. All the talk is about the new session, or about highlights from the previous one, but no mention of that brief window were the game itself had been suspended. Just let it go… no harm no foul, right?

Perhaps this would be a good time to practice the virtue of silence, but I kinda feel this fragility should be pointed out, so we don’t go stomping on it again. And those who endangered our fail-safe game? They should be identified and prosecuted.

Jul 022013
 

Illusionist David Blaine in IceI was watching the Wendy Davis spectacle last week. For those unfamiliar, the Texas State Legislature was about to put vast restrictions on abortion. There was a populist filibuster where hundreds of people spoke in the congress in order to delay the vote. This was cut short by the Chairman, but not before a day was lost.  In the next session, State Senator Wendy Davis filibustered the bill for 11+ hours, until she was shut down by the Lieutenant Governor just in time for a vote to be taken. The vote was delayed by roars of outrage from the gathered audience, and the bill failed to pass in time.

Every single part of this seems crazy to me.

First, the abortion restrictions themselves – the government is supposed to pass laws for the good of the society is governs. Banning abortion is obviously a failure in this regard, it shows either that the senate has been infiltrated by radical elements (if you believe society at large is good), or that society at large has been corrupted to a degree that the government can no longer steer it toward the common good.

Second, the people’s filibuster – rather than attempting to fix the source of the problem (either a compromised govt or a corrupt society) people instead decided to exploit a vulnerability in the system. They took a process intended to help the government make good decisions via testimony and intentionally broke it to halt the law-making process.

I think this was an acknowledgement that society has broken down to the point where we can’t have nice things anymore. The government now seems to work as a fail-safe instead. It is here mainly to prevent the civil war and chaos that results when people can’t live together. We really don’t want to live in Iraq. This is the only way I can make sense of these filibusters – they are games that formalize conflict with artificial rules which, as long as both sides agree to follow them, prevent violent outbreaks. Earlier I claimed that the Diamond Invention  is useful because it prevents us from wasting resources for signaling that could be better used for practical matters. In this case, the Politics Invention is useful because it prevents armed conflict.

Much of the rest of this story makes sense in this context. The opposing team made the next move – the Chairman of the House cut the filibuster short, saying the testimony had become repetitive (which was true). But more importantly – this tactic is too powerful. Either side can use it to stop any bill indefinitely, because it’s not hard to find a few hundred motivated people when pulling from a pool of millions. It’s a game breaker, and the game must continue to prevent war.

The counter-move was the announcing of a champion – Wendy Davis. This is acceptable because there is a very small pool to choose from (only the elected Representatives) and Texas rules make filibustering difficult enough (speaker cannot sit or lean on anything, cannot pause for bathroom breaks or other needs, and must stay on-topic) that it is a costly weapon (until someone like David Blaine is elected…). It is also a brilliant entertainment move – a single champion in a physical contest makes for a great narrative and allows for humans to do our much-beloved hero-worship thing. And games should always be entertaining.

It was also executed with a great eye for drama – the champion may falter twice, but is defeated upon the third fault, and has a deadline. The opposition managed to get in two strikes against the champion, one of them of extremely dubious validity. Then they ruled her in violation at third time with only minutes to the finish line! THE CROWD GOES WILD!

That was where the Republicans screwed up – they failed to account for the climax of an emotional event like this, because not only must they stop Davis, the also need to make one final move before midnight… a move which isn’t possible amidst the cacophony of raging fans. The clock ticks past midnight before a vote can be taken. Win by technicality!

This sort of thing convinces me that politics is a game. What sort of society allows their law-making body to be usurped by a loud mob that managed to delay a vote by three minutes? Seriously, three minutes make a difference here? 12:03 is an arbitrary time, and should make no difference in whether a law is “official” or not. That is the sort of rule that is fully in the providence of games and has no anchoring in reality.

Of course then the Republicans made a mistake so massive that both sides are doing their best to ignore it – they acknowledged the primacy of the game, and attempted to cheat, at the same time. But this post is long enough, I’ll get to that tomorrow.

Jun 242013
 

 

PornandDisney

Inspired by a “friend-zoned” post. There’s a serious failure mode in society where guys are not taught how to attract females in any formalized way. Seems most decent guys have to go through *years* being the idiot portrayed in this XKCD (I know I did), and women have to go through years of being surrounded by idiots or assholes. I haven’t interviewed any older folks on this (maybe I’ll ask my parents next time I visit them), but did they not know we’d need these skills when we were growing up? Or was this just one of those things you aren’t allowed to talk about?

The PUA community was almost on the right track, but they end up just turning idiots into assholes (unless the guys are very picky and ignore all the shit advice about treating women as commodities). This should not be a hard problem to fix. We already have a “Sex Ed class”. Currently it would more accurately be called a Biology of Human Reproduction class, as it’s primarily a biology lesson with the only useful thing taught being that condoms are great (and many states are trying to strip THAT out!). Why not include some education about *actual* sex, and how to be an attractive mate? The basics are well known. The alternative is that kids continue to get their education for their current teachers – Hollywood Romantic Comedies and Porn. Those are both Kabuki Theater that have no bearing on real life, and it can take a loooooong time for people to figure that out via trial-and-error.

Seriously, I had to learn the capitals of all 50 States. Quite a lot of time was wasted on that useless knowledge, it was integrated into other subjects (our music class had a song for it), and I’ll wager most schools still teach this. Cut that crap out and use the time for something useful that will improve everyone’s quality of life.

Jun 142013
 

1002974_580837905293653_356385955_nBased on various discussions in recent weeks, I am revising my stance on Transparency. Not the end result, which is still ideally a state of complete transparency, but in how to get there from here.

I’ve said that the records the NSA was collecting should be public information anyway. But obviously the government doesn’t feel the same way, because they were hiding the fact that they sought them. And they are now attempting to prosecute Snowden the same way they’ve reprehensively detained and prosecuted Bradley Manning. And yet they are doing NOTHING to investigate whether these secret programs actually needed to be secret. There are some things that will have to be held secret, even in a transparent society, for reasons of national security. After an interval of time they should all be revealed, and an independent panel would review past actions to determine if the secrecy was truly necessary for self-defense. Any abuse MUST be prosecuted fully, so that secrecy does not become the norm again, to keep the society as transparent as possible. In light of Snowden’s leaks, it seems that these programs should never have been secret, and the government officials/agencies that claimed protection from exposure in courts due to security concerns were lying. They are vile people who threaten the very concept of transparency. If the government cared anything for Transparency they would be prosecuting these obfuscationists for fraud and treason, rather than attacking the people who have brought this outrage to light.

Right now the window goes one-way only. The actions of those in power are being held in opacity while they can peer in on everyone else. Most people want the opacity to go both ways. I want the transparency to go both ways. But in either case the party that will be forced to change is the government. I was in the wrong to say the data that the government was gathering was no big deal. It is a big deal because they are trying to hide it, and until we can pry back their shells and expose them to the same light we live in, we should demand the same secrecy they get. The exchange of information must be mutual, or they will not have any incentive to change.

I was proclaiming “This is not a big deal” because I often live in the world I wish was already here, a world were Transparency works both ways, and where a return to secrecy and paranoia is a net loss for everyone, and thus must be defended. (“Be the change you want to see in the world” and all that). I forgot that this is not the world we’re in. We are a LONG way from there, and getting There from Here will require a lot of leverage and negotiation by those of us on the wrong side of the glass. We shouldn’t give away any tools in that fight for free, which is what I was doing. My bad.

Jun 062013
 

A lot of people are pretending to be outraged by the “revelation” that the NSA and FBI have requested phone records from Verizon. The records apparently show origin and destination phone numbers, and time/location/duration of calls. I fail to see what the big deal is.

Maybe I’m cynical, or maybe I’m just not deluded, but I’ve always lived under the assumption that government agencies have access to these sorts of records all the time. I’m actually surprised that they have to file official requests. Actually, the fact that they DO file official requests is a good sign! It means that we get to know what they know.

People already have these records. Verizon had them the whole time. Any number of people in Verizon, including the mid-wage office drone who doesn’t really give a fuck, could access this info. Now the circle of people who have this info has been slightly widened, to include people in the NSA/FBI. I guess those who are “outraged” trust Verizon-people implicitly, but distrust government-people? Verizon has less accountability, I’m not sure why they’re trusted more… but I guess they also have less overt power.

Really I’m just calling out what I view as fake outrage. In a society where many people post their every bowel movement onto Twitter for the world to see, and don’t give a damn when the government kidnaps and tortures people then keeps them imprisoned without charge for years, I simply cannot believe that they’d get their panties in a bunch over some people receiving long lists of phone numbers that connected with other phone numbers with <gasp!> time and duration of connection!!

Jun 052013
 

DenverComicCon2013Denver Comic Con is, interestingly, not a con that I would go to as an attendee. The main attraction is the “Exhibitor Hall” which is basically a huge shopping plaza for geek stuff. It’s there to stoke consumerist passions, and then sate them (for a fee). I am vigorously against the Owning of Stuff , and so there isn’t anything there for me. Even if I liked something I wouldn’t buy it, so I don’t go. It’s the same reason I don’t go to strip clubs.

But as a volunteer, it was a TON of fun. As mentioned previously, I think the key to defeating Existential Angst is to Do Things That Matter. Anything. Simply put, Do Stuff is the answer, whereas Own Stuff is the sham cure that Capitalistic Entities are selling you. Do Stuff is cheaper – many organizations will let you simply Do Stuff with them for free. The Denver Comic Con people  are one such organization, they were more than happy to take a couple hundred of us, give us some basic training, and organize us into a Stuff Doing force, without charging us a single dollar for the experience. :) I got to meet a lot of cool people, get a lot accomplished, and help put on a large convention for other people like me. I flirted with a couple girls, got to attend the panels I wanted to attend, and made some connections with people who are good at taking abstract dreams and doing the dirty work of turning them into reality. I really recommend doing this sort of thing a couple times a year. It’s no wonder church groups are so strongly bonded, if they’re out doing this sort of thing all the damn time!

Particularly memorable was my brief stint on the Exhibitor Hall, where I was needed for a while. I was told to pass out bottled water to the artists who needed it in the “Artists Alley” section. The Exhibitor Hall is PACKED with walking, talking, sweating bodies from open to close, and it’s a LARGE space. It gets hot quickly, and stays that way. Every single time I offered someone water they looked me in the eye and gave me a heart-felt “Thank you” – even the ones who declined the water. To be thanked like that, over and over, for 30+ minutes straight… damn it makes you feel good!!

I had originally only signed up for one day of volunteering, which comes with a free attendee pass for another day. Before I left I signed up for a second day of volunteering and gave my pass away, because it was much more fun and fulfilling to be involved.

 

Unrelated, but an interesting side-note:

Initially I walked the aisles with four bottles of water, two in each hand. When doing so, artists were far more likely to say “no, I’m ok” and pass on the water. There was a feeling of scarcity that made people assess whether they actually needed the water, and if they did not they let someone else have it that would need it more. This generosity was very uplifting. Later on I switched to hauling an entire box of water bottles with me, to speed up the process. Now that it was clear there was an abundance of water, nearly everyone took a water bottle, even those who already had one half-full besides them (because if there’s so many available, why not have one saved for later?). Some people requested two. This turned out to be unfortunate, as we didn’t have as much water as carrying around boxes of it seemed to imply. But the artists had no way of knowing that, they were simply responding to the information they were being presented. I’ve read about this phenomenon before, but nothing really teaches you something like actually experiencing it first-hand. I won’t be forgetting this lesson for a long time.

May 282013
 

army adWe’re still a ways away from human labor being unnecessary, but out of compassion many countries have social welfare programs in place to help the very poor anyway. I don’t know how it works in other countries, but in the US there is a lot of resistance to giving people aid simply because they are poor. There must be an excuse to give the aid, to make sure the recipient is worthy or deserving. Alone has pointed out (in his unique way) that this has lead to the pathologizing of a whole class of people as “disabled” to the enrichment of a class of professionals. But while this program (SSI) paid out $45B in 2009, a much bigger program cost $680B that same year, and had arguably greater negative impact on the world.

It’s a bit of an open secret that the US Military is a combination social welfare program and employer of last resort in the US. If you can’t find any other work, you can always join the army. The pay is decent, the benefits are amazing (free health care for life! Most of your college tuition paid!), and there’s a rock-solid pension program. That’s one of the reasons that women, gays, and minorities all fought for the right to join the military. It certainly wasn’t for the privilege of being maimed and killed. The only catch is that you have to be willing to advance America’s global interests using violence, and risk your life/limbs/health.

My brother spent a year in Afghanistan. He didn’t need to join the army, but most of the other people he met were forced into it by life circumstances – ie: they needed the welfare benefits. He described the fear of walking through IED-laced areas. He saw a friend lose a leg to one. He was pretty upset that in the USA, we demand that the destitute young take these risks for us before we’re willing to help them pay for college and medical care. He has a point.

In addition, the military is not the most efficient welfare provider. Of that $680B annually, only $2.2B went to college expenses. Vast sums are spent on training tens of thousands of people to kill, and buying top-of-the-line war machines. If half this amount was instead used to train engineers and fund public works, we wouldn’t have nearly the infrastructure crisis we have now. We could provide all these people with wages, benefits, and education and actually have something to show for it as well.

There is a point where more military spending creates disutility, and like many liberals, I’m of the opinion that we’ve passed this point quite a while back. A large, expensive military is hard to justify if it stands unused. And when your best tool is a hammer, soon most problems start to look suspiciously nail-like. The mere existence of such a large standing army has probably caused wars simply by being available (*cough* Iraq *cough*), leading to trillions of dollars in waste and hundreds of thousands of lives lost or ruined.

Does our social welfare program really have to have such insanely negative externalities? People talk about the hazards of unconditional transfer payments – the disincentives to being productive – but are those consequences really worse than inflicting physical and mental trauma on our poor, and killing a percentage of them?

It seems that for now, we do require such blood prices. It’s not like I’m advocating a grand new idea, it’s been tried before. But the voting public looks to be unwilling to fund a massive social program right now unless violence is involved. It seems we’ve become so used to being politically motivated by fear that nothing else has any impact anymore. And in the meantime, the government will keep getting a bigger, stronger tool of destruction to tempt them.

May 222013
 

15163 - artist john_joseco Calamity Fallout Littlepip original_character Velvet_RemedyKindle Worlds lets you get paid for fanfic. Yay? No.

John Scalzi summarizes the legal jargon, go read it. You’ll get paid for what you write, but then Amazon and the Licensors have full copyright ownership of everything you created. If you want to protect your rights you’ll have to change all the names, like Scalzi did with Redshirts.

This is nothing new, of course. Anyone who writes fanfic never had any legal claim on their work. That was a large part of the appeal. You are making something and gifting it to everyone for free, and in return they do the same. Eliezer wrote HPMoR, I used that to podcast it, Sam used the podcast to animate it. I get many of my FX from freesound, where other people upload their sounds for free for everyone to use. I upload my sounds in return (at least one of which has been used in a product) and the community as a whole financially supports the site. No one particularly minded, as there was no money to be made anyway. At best the original author gets extra sales from people who become interested in the world due to the fanfic (I only bought the original Harry Potter series because HPMoR was so good and I wanted my background. I never actually finished reading it, because frankly it wasn’t as good). At worst it’s just a bunch of people telling stories to each other and it doesn’t affect the author or publishers. Fanfic has been largely untouched by hostile hands due to this no-profit agreement.

Now Amazon is licensing fanfic for profit. At first blush this sounds good for the fanfic authors, but I have extreme reservations. Because now there is money to be made. Which means that if you’re writing fanfic and you AREN’T charging for it and giving the copyright holder a portion of the profits, there are lawyers that will make the case that you are stealing. Lawyers with a LOT of funding behind them.

I’m not saying this will happen, but now it could. And I don’t trust Amazon to not be evil. Hell, I don’t trust humans to not be evil, and they have preferences other than Maximize Profit! Give this tool to a Profit-Maximizing Optimization Process (which is what corporations basically are) and you will likely have to fight it to prevent a scouring of free fanfic.

Some people may not have a problem with this. The best fanfic writers will get some supplemental income and maybe make a name for themselves in the publishing world, and the rest will finally die off. But a lot of people first cut their teeth on fanfic. Every writer started out writing fanfic, most of them just had it in their elementary school notepads where they don’t have to admit to it. Imitation is always the first step in learning. Even people who don’t plan to write professionally often write fanfic sheerly for the pleasure of writing it. Soon they might be prosecuted if they don’t wish to turn over fiction written in licensed worlds to Amazon.

And some people have other agendas entirely. Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality is explicitly a teaching tool. It isn’t just there to tell a story, it’s there to promote rational thought in readers. To help raise the sanity waterline of the reading public, just a wee bit. That’s why it was written. That’s why I do the podcast. I am not seeking financial gain, I am trying to make the world slightly better, and slightly more like me. This is a purpose important to us, too important to limit it behind paywalls. The work is given away free not just out of necessity, but also to disseminate it as widely as possible. If we do not wish to charge for it, will Amazon be able to take us to court and force us to charge or remove it?

I’m betting we’ll find out sooner or later.

May 212013
 

classroomsBack when we were in the process of Beating The Game the education system was exactly what we needed. A base of farmers to keep us in calories, a large pool of industrial workers to keep society growing and upgrading, and an elite corps of intellectuals – as administrators and to make new progress in understanding how reality works and exploiting that knowledge. Robin Hanson has argued that schools are very important for teaching humans how to efficiently work in factories – to accept domination and hierarchical rankings. The brightest kids could be routed through colleges, where they would gain additional skills for the rarer intellectual jobs.

The climate has changed since those days.

Here in America we can feed our entire population using just 2% of the workforce. All of our manufacturing and industry uses another 20%. But we’re still running our education system like we need tons of industrial labor. This leaves us with a lot of people who are very fit for industrial work, but no jobs for them to do – both the newest generation and the working adults who need to retrain as their old jobs disappear. They see the college track that has been laid down, and they think “Ah ha! Here’s the next step! I will make my labor more valuable!” Which is exactly what society has been telling all of us for decades.

This creates the education bubble we’re now experiencing. The college track was designed for a small percentage of students, not all of them. The demand for higher education rockets upward and the supply cannot be increased quickly enough to meet it, so prices go through the roof. Everyone is willing to pay those prices because the loans are freely available, subsidized by a government that had evolved in a period of relative intellectual-labor scarcity. It’s the same thing that happens to us when we’re exposed to unlimited high-sugar high-fat foods.

Now we face a glut of highly-skilled individuals with a bare handful of jobs to employ them. It’s gotten bad enough that people have paid $13,000 at auction for the privilege of getting an unpaid internship.

A large number of otherwise very smart people have been saying something I find rather surprising. That these highly-skilled and generally intelligent people should create new jobs. Just like all the innovators and entrepreneurs of the past, they should help to enrich society by applying their intellect in creative new endeavors. This would indeed be a great solution, if it wasn’t for one major hurdle.

We have stripped that ability from these people. We spent 12-16 years and tens of thousands of dollars per person doing that. Intentionally removing initiative and daring, in order to get cooperation and stability. To such a degree that many people can’t muster the initiative to keep themselves alive without a compelling outside reason to do so. Nowadays we get our cooperation and stability from machines, and we haven’t yet retooled our schools to keep up with changing demands. It doesn’t look like the government is making any effort to do so either, at least not in the US. Most politicians seem to be pushing the “do what we’ve always done, just do it more and better!” idea. Education needs to fundamentally change its focus.

In addition, we need to stop threatening people with death for showing initiative… which I’ll get into tomorrow, as this post is already long enough.